Ballons
0xfcfe7b9756da0d7ca1837e3281910d9e67ead420
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 3,235
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,235
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.588Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.494Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.346Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$1.1kat 0.586Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
- +$839.63at 0.620Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:25 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 08-05 17:51 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.53 | $212.00 |
| 08-05 17:29 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.689 | $137.80 |
| 08-05 17:29 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6807832213 | $31.40 |
| 08-05 17:28 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.68 | $14.96 |
| 08-05 17:28 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6756511425 | $38.74 |
| 08-05 17:28 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6527619949 | $41.36 |
| 08-05 17:28 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $14.32 |
| 08-05 16:49 | National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.66 | $39.60 |
| 08-05 16:25 | National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 08-05 15:36 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 08-05 15:35 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.5175 | $20.70 |
| 08-05 15:10 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 08-05 13:56 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 08-05 13:40 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.13 | $0.91 |