kayarayaAMIN
0xfcfb6ce2b2cffb1317b62768e1c85fdb53f621c4
- Realised P&L
- $-26.84
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $11.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$4.36at 0.184Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.17at 0.191Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$3.65at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 15:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.09 |
| 09-28 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.68 |
| 09-28 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.07 |
| 09-28 15:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6371849678 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.54 |
| 09-28 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.89 |
| 09-28 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.79 |
| 09-28 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7887694954 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.14 |
| 09-28 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6099999451 | $4.00 |
| 09-28 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.495049505 | $5.00 |