PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kayarayaAMIN

0xfcfb6ce2b2cffb1317b62768e1c85fdb53f621c4

Realised P&L
$-26.84
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
185
Open portfolio
$11.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded185
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29? · Yes0.7000.890$6.36+$1.36
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? · Yes0.5300.530$5.00+$0.00
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.2430.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.3360.000$0.00−$1.00
Celtics vs. Knicks · Celtics0.5570.000$0.00−$2.15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$1.00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:57Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-28 15:28Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?SELL0.995$5.09
09-28 15:28Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.98$7.68
09-28 15:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.998$5.07
09-28 15:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.699999972$5.00
09-28 11:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.6371849678$5.00
09-28 11:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.999$6.54
09-28 11:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?SELL0.999$10.89
09-28 04:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.5499999954$6.00
09-28 04:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?SELL0.44$2.79
09-28 04:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?BUY0.7887694954$5.00
09-28 04:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?SELL0.41$4.14
09-28 03:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.6099999451$4.00
09-28 03:40Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.5899999725$3.00
09-28 01:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.495049505$5.00