PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xfcf3e5a7630d6722784aa5004da217c289af1c06

0xfcf3e5a7630d6722784aa5004da217c289af1c06

Realised P&L
$-27.42
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$2.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.1300.071$2.73−$2.27
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 · Over0.3700.000$0.00−$2.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4160.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$4.00
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 13:39Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
08-05 10:25Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I PlayoffsBUY0.6599998944$2.00
07-29 12:35Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29?BUY0.1790909091$1.97
07-28 14:52Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?BUY0.08$1.00
07-28 14:47Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?BUY0.1$1.00
07-21 12:17Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.003$5.00
07-21 09:43Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.003$1.00
07-21 09:43Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.003$1.00
07-16 08:48Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4159997837$1.00
07-09 16:48Solana Up or Down - July 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
07-08 16:35Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999456$3.00
07-08 16:35Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
07-08 16:13Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$4.00
07-08 14:37Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.54
07-03 09:52Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5BUY0.3699999112$2.00