datanemesis
0xfcf3813b1feec355c814379cd2b343f480f32d02
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $465.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-37.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Spain? · No | 0.925 | 1.000 | $432.32 | +$32.22 |
| Croatia vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.790 | 1.000 | $33.32 | +$6.98 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.427 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Bermuda vs. Barbados: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.87at 0.962Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 England?
- +$0.92at 0.952Exact Score: Fortaleza EC 0 - 1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:57 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.61 |
| 10-04 20:50 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2663618028 | $907.99 |
| 10-03 20:58 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7269543852 | $426.37 |
| 10-03 11:28 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7447771263 | $900.00 |
| 10-03 11:27 | Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.96 | $400.00 |
| 10-03 02:50 | Exact Score: Fortaleza EC 0 - 1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.79 |
| 10-02 21:14 | Exact Score: Fortaleza EC 0 - 1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.82 |