0xfcf2059C73fe5ebfe708591500eD3FC821497279-1768056005270
0xfcf2059c73fe5ebfe708591500ed3fc821497279
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $490.8k
- Markets traded
- 559
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded559
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.273Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
- +$1.1kat 0.087Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
- +$763.13at 0.205Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
- +$506.81at 0.345Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
- +$412.88at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 15:21 | Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.09 | $13.74 |
| 10-12 11:36 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | BUY | 0.729787234 | $171.50 |
| 10-12 08:34 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4433625495 | $68.24 |
| 10-12 08:20 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | BUY | 0.7528746774 | $227.56 |
| 10-12 08:09 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | SELL | 0.9192359141 | $305.25 |
| 10-11 21:07 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 10-11 20:54 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | BUY | 0.0113028 | $1.13 |
| 10-11 20:17 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 10-10 20:49 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.067 | $0.34 |
| 10-10 20:25 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-10 20:25 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.23 | $24.75 |
| 10-10 20:25 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.0899550613 | $159.18 |
| 10-10 17:40 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.18 |
| 10-10 17:21 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.96 |
| 10-10 17:21 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.3697721577 | $81.15 |