0xfcf2059C73fe5ebfe708591500eD3FC821497279-1768056005270
0xfcf2059c73fe5ebfe708591500ed3fc821497279
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $473.8k
- Markets traded
- 541
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded541
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.268Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
- +$1.1kat 0.086Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
- +$770.87at 0.199Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
- +$506.81at 0.345Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
- +$414.99at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:18 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? | BUY | 0.174 | $6.09 |
| 08-02 20:16 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.27 |
| 08-02 08:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.82 |
| 08-02 08:54 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 03:54 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.041 | $12.50 |
| 07-31 10:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.4 | $155.96 |
| 07-29 08:00 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.60 |
| 07-26 09:16 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | BUY | 0.0199553888 | $9.57 |
| 07-20 14:08 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.312 | $124.61 |
| 07-19 23:58 | Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m? | BUY | 0.38 | $114.00 |
| 07-19 23:25 | Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m? | BUY | 0.4 | $106.80 |
| 07-19 23:23 | Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.96 |
| 07-19 23:16 | Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.51 |
| 07-19 23:16 | Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.51 |