PolyBot

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Traders

adolfrizzler009

0xfced95f43a3d153e55bf01894f781687abfe03d9

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$146.9k
Markets traded
988
Open portfolio
$0.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded988
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.0010.001$0.20$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 21? · Yes0.0010.001$0.14$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 21? · Yes0.0010.001$0.04$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 04:29Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on September 21?SELL0.003$0.64
09-21 04:27Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21?SELL0.02$2.00
09-21 04:27Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on September 21?SELL0.007$2.00
09-21 04:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.001$0.01
09-21 04:19Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.001$0.27
09-21 04:15Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on September 21?BUY0.001$0.50
09-20 08:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.662$6.62
09-20 08:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.0724312$3.62
09-19 19:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 19?SELL0.006$0.60
09-19 16:25Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 19?SELL0.002$0.20
09-19 16:24Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 19?SELL0.01$1.00
09-19 15:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 19?SELL0.0010760358$0.07
09-19 08:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 19?BUY0.006$0.60
09-19 08:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.0026$0.26
09-19 05:56Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 19?SELL0.0026652$0.27