0xfcec58dfaf353f8cae61a13e1fb0710c745b9033
0xfcec58dfaf353f8cae61a13e1fb0710c745b9033
- Realised P&L
- $18.52
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $81.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · No | 0.370 | 0.845 | $45.67 | +$25.67 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.980 | $24.91 | +$9.91 |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No | 0.896 | 0.877 | $10.64 | −$0.23 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 5? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.45at 0.442Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$6.47at 0.700Set Handicap: Iva Jovic (-1.5) vs Kamilla Rakhimova (+1.5)
- +$5.27at 0.740Lions vs. Panthers
- +$4.38at 0.769Set 2 Winner: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova
- +$2.95at 0.837Finland vs. Belarus: Belarus O/U 5.5 Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:42 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.37 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 15:22 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.012 | $2.08 |
| 10-05 15:21 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.015 | $2.84 |
| 10-05 15:21 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.02 | $1.33 |
| 10-05 15:21 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.02 | $1.71 |
| 10-05 15:21 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.02 | $3.50 |
| 10-05 15:21 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.0162827308 | $4.32 |
| 10-05 15:21 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.016 | $0.37 |
| 10-05 15:20 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | SELL | 0.016 | $4.80 |
| 10-05 15:20 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.0195702191 | $11.51 |
| 10-05 13:59 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.72 |
| 10-05 13:35 | Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 5? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.57 |
| 10-05 06:16 | Set 2 Winner: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova | BUY | 0.76 | $14.42 |
| 10-05 02:42 | Lions vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.74 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 23:07 | Puerto Rico vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.1 | $8.33 |