PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFCe686833A8F7DeDe97BbAA6293906Eb52FabD7f-1771158416989

0xfce686833a8f7dede97bbaa6293906eb52fabd7f

Realised P&L
$-312.84
Volume
$57.3k
Markets traded
3,845
Open portfolio
$586.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,845
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.9660.984$101.86+$1.86
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5490.534$38.92−$1.08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6080.466$27.57−$8.43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.625$24.04+$4.04
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5190.465$22.39−$2.61
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7680.785$20.43+$0.43
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-10-19? · No0.9690.967$14.97−$0.03
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17? · No0.9300.925$14.92−$0.08
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18? · No0.9300.925$14.92−$0.08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5070.385$11.39−$3.61
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.8400.855$10.18+$0.18
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-10-17? · No0.9300.945$10.16+$0.16
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-17? · No0.8300.835$10.06+$0.06
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? · No0.9200.925$10.05+$0.05
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-10-17? · No0.9000.895$9.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 22:51Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.9009900812$5.00
10-16 22:50Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-16 22:49Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-16 22:47Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-16 22:47Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-16 22:46Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
10-16 22:44Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.8899999252$10.00
10-16 22:44Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
10-16 22:43Will PSV win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-16 22:43Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.9$10.00
10-16 22:43Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.75$5.00
10-16 22:42Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
10-16 22:42Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-16 22:41Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.75$5.00
10-16 22:39Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.75$5.00