Po1yBot-KRq7io9q8G
0xfce37c7dc93f59473f5a021247e7bcb801c9f7ab
- Realised P&L
- $-186.41
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.93at 0.537Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?
- +$29.70at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 15?
- +$22.63at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 14?
- +$15.14at 0.340Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?
- +$11.33at 0.670Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.80 |
| 09-20 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.1262307498 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.27 |
| 09-14 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.37 | $6.38 |
| 09-07 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.102600104 | $1.97 |
| 09-07 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.11 |
| 09-07 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0550117371 | $1.87 |
| 09-07 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0418994413 | $3.00 |