Averenko12268
0xfce15ffdd15845d5f7d946faf2470bba73d1e2b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $133.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.980 | $59.10 | +$0.09 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · No | 0.973 | 0.966 | $54.35 | −$0.44 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.353 | $19.80 | −$34.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$597.98at 0.420Twins vs. Yankees
- +$593.12at 0.490Padres vs. Mariners
- +$228.00at 0.520Florida vs. Houston
- +$117.12at 0.390Guardians vs. Mets
- +$107.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 12:03 | Pirates vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.44 | $486.20 |
| 08-26 07:02 | Padres vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.49 | $468.44 |
| 08-18 05:24 | Blue Jays vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.5 | $864.00 |
| 08-08 06:11 | Cubs vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.58 | $291.16 |
| 08-04 07:51 | Guardians vs. Mets | BUY | 0.39 | $74.88 |
| 07-29 08:58 | Solana Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $190.00 |
| 04-07 06:06 | Florida vs. Houston | BUY | 0.52 | $247.00 |
| 04-04 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BUY | 0.8699999996 | $215.00 |
| 04-02 10:56 | Ethereum Up or Down on April 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $107.00 |
| 03-18 11:49 | Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 11-25 10:44 | Pelicans vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-21 08:56 | Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25? | BUY | 0.4678311308 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 06:55 | Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 10:11 | 'Speak No Evil' grosses >$13m opening weekend? | BUY | 0.4299999954 | $46.00 |
| 09-13 09:56 | Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2024? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |