serendipity-flags
0xfce071daecef32f4d095b358a2c2c9da8299c8da
- Realised P&L
- $-9.48
- Volume
- $473.05
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $190.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No | 0.690 | 0.975 | $141.23 | +$41.23 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.150 | $49.22 | −$50.78 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 18:04 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 04-14 16:30 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999928 | $25.00 |
| 04-14 15:36 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 04-14 15:35 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |