0xfcda1461aa50578e4d8ca83c9d0a6213c2745276
- Realised P&L
- $-11.32
- Volume
- $793.70
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $5.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.007 | $5.53 | −$8.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$1.04at 0.671Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$0.31at 0.873Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$0.05at 0.952Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$-0.12at 0.960Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 12:08 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.96 |
| 08-11 12:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.50 |
| 08-06 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.80 |
| 08-06 19:17 | Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0189999985 | $13.00 |
| 08-06 18:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:19 | Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:12 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $1.02 |
| 08-06 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |