PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LighterJuventus

0xfcd29ecdaa3e0b97e06342468515e552096fe477

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$355.0k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0080.011$922.80+$290.78
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0110.013$459.45+$84.44
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0090.009$422.18+$20.21
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5 · Under0.6600.000$0.00−$393.40
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5 · Under0.7600.000$0.00−$99.28
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5710.000$0.00−$98.74
Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00−$137.97
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? · Yes0.4880.000$0.00−$709.95
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$51.48
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$50.00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5690.000$0.00−$50.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 30? · No0.2130.000$0.00−$2.0k
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$80.74
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$150.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 11:30Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$37.97
10-21 11:29Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.008$50.00
10-21 11:28Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.009$56.00
10-21 11:27Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1399116761$158.38
10-17 00:10Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999997$100.00
10-17 00:03Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1557296133$116.80
10-14 12:48Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.2999999994$98.44
10-04 02:08Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0099986867$59.99
10-04 02:07Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.01$50.00
10-04 02:06Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.01$27.16
10-04 02:04Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2324132099$150.60
09-27 12:15Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.012$33.81
09-27 12:14Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.01$30.00
09-27 12:14Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.01$50.00
09-21 21:31Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1563846154$20.33