LighterJuventus
0xfcd29ecdaa3e0b97e06342468515e552096fe477
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $355.0k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.677Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$604.66at 0.128Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$499.52at 0.698Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?
- +$402.10at 0.664Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
- +$349.74at 0.174Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 11:30 | Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.97 |
| 10-21 11:29 | Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 11:28 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $56.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1399116761 | $158.38 |
| 10-17 00:10 | Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 00:03 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1557296133 | $116.80 |
| 10-14 12:48 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $98.44 |
| 10-04 02:08 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0099986867 | $59.99 |
| 10-04 02:07 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 02:06 | Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $27.16 |
| 10-04 02:04 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2324132099 | $150.60 |
| 09-27 12:15 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $33.81 |
| 09-27 12:14 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 12:14 | Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 21:31 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1563846154 | $20.33 |