somblet
0xfccb4e25eda4290e1fabcf9909fdd1f3fe192b5b
- Realised P&L
- $1.51
- Volume
- $583.85
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $9.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal · Afghanistan | 0.648 | 0.645 | $9.88 | −$0.04 |
| Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia · Australia | 0.070 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$1.53at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$0.94at 0.849Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$0.89at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$0.86at 0.651Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:33 | Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal | BUY | 0.6476171245 | $9.92 |
| 09-24 16:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $1.35 |
| 09-24 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8118811736 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $1.45 |
| 09-24 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $0.70 |
| 09-24 16:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $1.16 |
| 09-24 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.16 |
| 09-24 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $1.51 |
| 09-24 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |