antiochossaschauder
0xfcc5e2b619f3dafb4f08219c9dc2b2f50ffe0544
- Realised P&L
- $11.88
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $155.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.978 | 0.983 | $54.04 | +$0.25 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.972 | 0.973 | $53.49 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No | 0.961 | 0.968 | $48.40 | +$0.35 |
| Royals vs. Blue Jays · Blue Jays | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$789.17at 0.470Oilers vs. Stars
- +$760.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on June 3?
- +$590.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?
- +$226.17at 0.513Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
- +$125.65at 0.620Rockets vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:06 | Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.978 | $14.15 |
| 03-13 08:35 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9929183932 | $23.48 |
| 08-01 10:41 | Royals vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 05-04 14:15 | Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $300.00 |
| 04-30 10:26 | Timberwolves vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6799999996 | $330.00 |
| 04-28 06:46 | Rockets vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $205.00 |
| 04-25 08:37 | Thunder vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 04-23 12:48 | Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5127397771 | $238.00 |