AliceMirteeva
0xfcc1b1dec1bd63f9fd9f00ddeb56847e5a622279
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $212.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.987 | $56.65 | +$2.10 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No | 0.955 | 0.970 | $56.63 | +$0.88 |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.980 | $54.17 | +$0.03 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.941 | 0.957 | $25.78 | +$0.42 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No | 0.969 | 0.952 | $19.48 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$475.00at 0.500Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
- +$2.56at 0.940Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
- +$0.99at 0.972US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
- +$0.51at 0.930Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.49at 0.966Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:00 | Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.99 | $47.51 |
| 01-20 07:09 | Heat vs. Kings | BUY | 0.41 | $922.91 |
| 01-19 07:11 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) | SELL | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 07:09 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 01-16 12:46 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $475.00 |
| 01-14 06:44 | LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) | BUY | 0.2 | $270.00 |
| 06-02 10:48 | Rockies vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.65 | $599.95 |