0xfcb9271d885b338d701f5403e80461c6c15606f2
0xfcb9271d885b338d701f5403e80461c6c15606f2
- Realised P&L
- $-0.36
- Volume
- $37.15
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $7.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.335 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.275 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.600 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.400 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.635 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · No | 0.460 | 0.400 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.510 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.450 | 0.205 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?
- +$0.43at 0.806Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
- +$-1.02at 0.600Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$-1.03at 0.258WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:38 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:37 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:26 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:17 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:46 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:13 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:12 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:40 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 10:55 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.79 |
| 08-19 06:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4599999504 | $1.67 |