0xFCb7eCcaAF898f37769FB2e6d672D2bEa42391c4-1777361363861
0xfcb7eccaaf898f37769fb2e6d672d2bea42391c4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $155.6k
- Markets traded
- 938
- Open portfolio
- $17.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded938
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.50at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 4?
- +$136.23at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 3?
- +$72.65at 0.391Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 7?
- +$68.98at 0.435Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 5?
- +$64.42at 0.326Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0054568038 | $1.57 |
| 10-03 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.56 |
| 10-03 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-03 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 3? | BUY | 0.2399999785 | $1.79 |
| 10-03 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4299999976 | $3.55 |
| 10-03 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0784313725 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0263308027 | $1.20 |
| 10-03 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.3 | $8.11 |
| 10-02 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0381857669 | $1.09 |
| 10-02 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.2899999977 | $9.00 |
| 10-02 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.0777333333 | $4.08 |
| 10-02 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.58 |
| 10-02 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 2? | BUY | 0.0221134019 | $1.32 |
| 10-02 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.35 |