YFGambling
0xfcb23fd110eb6982002297b98ba001765809abea
- Realised P&L
- $406.51
- Volume
- $49.8k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $483.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.670 | 0.665 | $297.76 | −$2.24 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.385 | $99.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.105 | $75.84 | −$24.16 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $6.53 | −$8.46 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.23at 0.100Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$116.93at 0.410Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- +$99.14at 0.400Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$72.83at 0.276Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$70.00at 0.740Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:56 | Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1384512498 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 13:56 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.3860607536 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 09:13 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 14:53 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.1 | $71.49 |
| 06-20 18:41 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.0550727641 | $35.08 |
| 06-20 06:37 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.0627954425 | $40.00 |
| 06-19 13:03 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.053 | $15.90 |
| 06-19 12:52 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 06-19 11:23 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.091 | $4.26 |
| 06-18 21:29 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1596009975 | $40.00 |
| 06-16 20:51 | Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.0183166594 | $9.24 |
| 06-10 21:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $48.27 |
| 06-08 21:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $155.17 |
| 06-08 11:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999991 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 09:44 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $300.00 |