PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YFGambling

0xfcb23fd110eb6982002297b98ba001765809abea

Realised P&L
$390.41
Volume
$56.9k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$106.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3860.162$41.83−$58.17
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · No0.2710.278$40.62+$0.88
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1380.034$24.20−$75.80
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$4.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$16.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:02Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.64$95.09
10-28 07:36Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5099999949$30.00
10-28 06:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.94$114.63
10-28 06:34Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
10-22 11:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.819999999$100.00
10-14 22:44Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.0202016891$8.01
09-08 19:20Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$8.71
08-30 19:55US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?BUY0.0119999988$10.00
08-20 14:17Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.2345894599$20.00
08-17 07:37Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.3032279056$30.00
08-08 13:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.16$50.00
08-01 13:56Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?BUY0.1384512498$100.00
08-01 13:56Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.3860607536$100.00
07-26 09:13Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$5.00
07-13 14:53Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.1$71.49