PolyBot

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Traders

0xfcb15a94056593f98e02c33d0379da7bfc550cd6

0xfcb15a94056593f98e02c33d0379da7bfc550cd6

Realised P&L
$-137.56
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$151.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27? · Yes0.3900.525$18.75+$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 27? · Yes0.2360.320$17.55+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 27? · Yes0.4700.515$16.33+$1.43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27? · No0.5400.545$15.09+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 27? · No0.7700.880$15.03+$1.88
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 26? · No0.8300.645$11.67−$3.35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? · No0.8400.975$11.46+$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.4500.330$10.76−$3.91
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 27? · No0.6800.680$9.64+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? · Yes0.2600.765$8.05+$5.31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 27? · Yes0.3000.400$5.83+$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 26? · No0.8400.705$4.41−$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 26? · Yes0.1800.160$2.79−$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 27? · Yes0.2600.250$2.71−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 27? · No0.8600.815$1.63−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 26?SELL0.999$11.59
09-26 17:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 27?SELL0.71$3.55
09-26 14:48Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26?SELL0.997$26.09
09-26 13:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26?SELL0.14$0.23
09-26 11:10Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 26?SELL0.85$3.14
09-26 08:11Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26?SELL0.999$9.98
09-26 08:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?SELL0.73$10.67
09-26 03:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26?SELL0.7$4.00
09-26 01:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.37$2.60
09-26 01:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 26?BUY0.9$10.44
09-26 01:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26?SELL0.48$3.65
09-26 00:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.69$10.09
09-26 00:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.84$9.87
09-25 23:10Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26?BUY0.515$5.15
09-25 22:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.26$3.16