0xfcb15a94056593f98e02c33d0379da7bfc550cd6
0xfcb15a94056593f98e02c33d0379da7bfc550cd6
- Realised P&L
- $-137.56
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $151.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.579Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$16.31at 0.448Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$13.66at 0.462Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$13.24at 0.212Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$13.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.59 |
| 09-26 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 27? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-26 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.997 | $26.09 |
| 09-26 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.23 |
| 09-26 11:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.14 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 09-26 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.73 | $10.67 |
| 09-26 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.60 |
| 09-26 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.44 |
| 09-26 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.65 |
| 09-26 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.09 |
| 09-26 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.87 |
| 09-25 23:10 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.515 | $5.15 |
| 09-25 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.16 |