ygiughouho
0xfcaf5a3b7177d6a621e477ed8c3276079df30ff5
- Realised P&L
- $-77.77
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $82.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.926 | $79.57 | +$72.27 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.959 | $2.79 | +$0.40 |
| Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.676 | 0.031 | $0.26 | −$5.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.36at 0.452Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$15.86at 0.492Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- +$13.90at 0.590Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena Ostapenko
- +$11.60at 0.500Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$10.65at 0.587Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:35 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9319999963 | $4.00 |
| 08-13 14:19 | Titans vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 23:33 | Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.2299999833 | $8.80 |
| 08-12 21:41 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.06 | $0.18 |
| 08-12 19:29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4399998363 | $1.29 |
| 08-12 01:08 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 08-10 18:09 | Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5499999301 | $1.18 |
| 08-09 19:21 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4699998495 | $1.28 |
| 08-09 19:21 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4699998804 | $1.10 |
| 08-09 18:51 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $3.76 |
| 08-09 18:28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 15:05 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4399999767 | $3.77 |
| 08-09 14:00 | Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.4699999948 | $12.62 |
| 08-09 11:34 | Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999783 | $3.84 |
| 06-28 15:42 | Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.5 | $5.68 |