0xfcabb052d56fbec1d30ae2786b9434c92a543376
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $126.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.055 | $2.8k | −$1.8k |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.006 | $238.59 | −$206.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.68at 0.520Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$-3.48at 0.130Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-7.71at 0.040Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-8.01at 0.976Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5
- +$-20.10at 0.093Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 16:20 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.45 |
| 09-05 20:35 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 06:55 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.0123129161 | $250.00 |
| 09-05 06:06 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $40.00 |
| 09-05 06:04 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.0115735472 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 13:32 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.01375337 | $30.00 |
| 09-03 10:32 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.0126440343 | $35.00 |
| 09-02 05:50 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $328.43 |
| 08-01 07:15 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.0109326309 | $57.34 |
| 07-30 02:35 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $492.66 |
| 07-30 02:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 07-30 02:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 01:52 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $94.92 |
| 07-08 02:13 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999994 | $96.71 |
| 07-06 03:57 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1099999966 | $28.08 |