0xfcabb052d56fbec1d30ae2786b9434c92a543376
0xfcabb052d56fbec1d30ae2786b9434c92a543376
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $295.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.035 | $3.2k | −$3.1k |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No | 0.020 | 0.005 | $508.11 | −$1.4k |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.051 | $110.58 | +$10.58 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.007 | $73.07 | −$41.68 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.011 | $34.43 | −$15.57 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.013 | $8.14 | +$3.14 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.009 | $7.99 | −$7.01 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$258.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.68at 0.520Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$-3.48at 0.130Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-7.71at 0.040Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-8.01at 0.976Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5
- +$-20.10at 0.093Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 11:33 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0113773984 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 11:32 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0444954149 | $130.00 |
| 10-19 07:42 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0074089509 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 20:28 | Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0178345703 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 16:58 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.046573324 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 07:32 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0142948167 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 21:25 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 06:30 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0152479731 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 21:22 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0173166715 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 21:19 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $59.92 |
| 10-08 11:33 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $198.42 |
| 10-08 03:32 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0079879861 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 01:33 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0193087709 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 01:32 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0168465231 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 19:15 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.017 | $100.00 |