PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfcabb052d56fbec1d30ae2786b9434c92a543376

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$84.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0950.065$3.0k$1.4k
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0110.009$49.83$7.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:15Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.0109326309$57.34
07-30 02:35Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$492.66
07-30 02:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$500.00
07-30 02:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$500.00
07-11 01:52Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.06$94.92
07-08 02:13Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999994$96.71
07-06 03:57Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1099999966$28.08
07-06 03:56Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999982$30.00
07-06 02:41Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.051999985$3.24
07-06 02:29Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0678196194$13.00
07-06 01:56Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
07-06 01:50Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0900447116$20.00
07-05 22:49Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1392844761$58.04
07-04 05:04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999987$24.18
07-04 04:44Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999981$29.10