DenisMarsz
0xfca8f8fe3942fe4728be08209f65b150f8d74f41
- Realised P&L
- $556.06
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $62.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.60at 0.890Will Denmark win on 2025-10-09?
- +$98.03at 0.710Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?
- +$86.00at 0.570UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinez
- +$84.66at 0.940Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa
- +$72.12at 0.660UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:16 | Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.54 |
| 10-19 20:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.09 |
| 10-08 09:50 | Spread: Alabama (-20.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $9.42 |
| 07-06 16:13 | Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 1 GAIS? | BUY | 0.9199999923 | $4.75 |
| 07-06 16:12 | Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.988 | $8.44 |
| 07-01 18:34 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? | BUY | 0.9529999966 | $8.60 |
| 06-03 17:36 | Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.9979999484 | $5.42 |
| 05-17 12:40 | Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.9739999994 | $23.00 |
| 04-22 11:48 | Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? | BUY | 0.9569999931 | $5.58 |
| 04-07 18:53 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9159999127 | $8.60 |
| 04-07 18:52 | Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.9979998654 | $3.38 |
| 03-23 10:41 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.9659999977 | $3.37 |
| 03-23 10:39 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999992 | $6.44 |
| 03-14 15:28 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9819999278 | $9.93 |
| 03-14 15:26 | Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $6.87 |