PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DenisMarsz

0xfca8f8fe3942fe4728be08209f65b150f8d74f41

Realised P&L
$556.06
Volume
$1.17M
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$62.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9740.998$23.55+$0.55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9820.984$9.95+$0.02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? · No0.9400.976$9.43+$0.34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9160.840$7.88−$0.72
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9930.997$6.47+$0.03
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? · No0.9880.924$5.18−$0.36
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Appalachian State · Appalachian State0.7900.000$0.00−$22.00
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakura · Asakura0.7400.000$0.00−$101.00
Arizona vs. Houston · Arizona0.6900.000$0.00−$23.00
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State · Texas Tech Red Raiders0.7200.000$0.00−$25.00
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandez · Hooper0.7700.000$0.00−$60.00
Memphis vs. UAB Blazers · Memphis0.9300.000$0.00−$23.00
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa · Barbosa 0.3630.000$0.00−$109.00
Spread: Michigan (-4.5) · Washington0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 19:16Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?BUY0.988$5.54
10-19 20:47Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?BUY0.94$9.09
10-08 09:50Spread: Alabama (-20.5)BUY0.99$9.42
07-06 16:13Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 1 GAIS?BUY0.9199999923$4.75
07-06 16:12Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?BUY0.988$8.44
07-01 18:34Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?BUY0.9529999966$8.60
06-03 17:36Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY0.9979999484$5.42
05-17 12:40Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.9739999994$23.00
04-22 11:48Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?BUY0.9569999931$5.58
04-07 18:53Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9159999127$8.60
04-07 18:52Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.9979998654$3.38
03-23 10:41Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.9659999977$3.37
03-23 10:39Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9929999992$6.44
03-14 15:28Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9819999278$9.93
03-14 15:26Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.988999999$6.87