0x3948jdk97h75g
0xfca6d6452c039c139ad44449a13078c5a2366595
- Realised P&L
- $837.73
- Volume
- $100.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,074
- Open portfolio
- $329.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,074
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.56at 0.265Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
- +$133.80at 0.270Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?
- +$112.31at 0.220Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$108.84at 0.237Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$81.16at 0.156Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 00:40 | Counter-Strike: A NATA vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7805952165 | $4.15 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 10-19 01:39 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 10-19 01:22 | Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.20 |
| 10-18 13:30 | Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 1.5% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.7799999991 | $54.59 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23? | BUY | 0.6599999501 | $1.85 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23? | BUY | 0.63 | $10.84 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 23? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 10-18 11:24 | Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 10-18 09:12 | Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026? | BUY | 0.667 | $13.34 |
| 10-18 08:28 | Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |