PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3948jdk97h75g

0xfca6d6452c039c139ad44449a13078c5a2366595

Realised P&L
$837.73
Volume
$100.2k
Markets traded
2,074
Open portfolio
$329.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,074
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Linera listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? · No0.7500.855$42.75+$5.25
Will Breece Hall have 1,099.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7110.885$37.17+$7.31
Will Bo Nix have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8100.635$31.75−$8.75
Will Malik Willis have 2,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7000.585$29.25−$5.75
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? · No0.5100.685$27.40+$7.00
Will Bryce Young have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4100.615$24.60+$8.20
Will Jalen Hurts have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6900.975$19.49+$5.69
Will Bryce Young have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5000.455$18.20−$1.80
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.325$13.00−$3.42
Will Aaron Rodgers have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4010.615$9.37+$3.25
Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5110.545$8.30+$0.51
Will Christian Watson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5000.825$8.25+$3.25
Will Davante Adams have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2500.870$7.51+$5.35
Will Breece Hall have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2090.165$6.93−$1.85
Will Linera launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.120$6.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 00:40Counter-Strike: A NATA vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group StageBUY0.7805952165$4.15
10-19 01:39Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.61$12.20
10-19 01:39Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.994$19.88
10-19 01:39Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.992$19.84
10-19 01:39Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.998$19.96
10-19 01:22Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?BUY0.95$19.20
10-18 13:30Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 1.5% and 2.5%?BUY0.7799999991$54.59
10-18 11:24Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?BUY0.7$14.00
10-18 11:24Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?BUY0.6599999501$1.85
10-18 11:24Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?BUY0.63$10.84
10-18 11:24Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 23?BUY0.998$19.96
10-18 11:24Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 23?BUY0.86$17.20
10-18 11:24Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 23?BUY0.997$19.94
10-18 09:12Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?BUY0.667$13.34
10-18 08:28Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.64$12.80