0xfc8e89ec0f7fd32986a012f40564c6e376d47cbd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.63
- Volume
- $202.29
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $81.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down on February 4? · Down | 0.460 | 1.000 | $21.50 | +$11.61 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.915 | $19.51 | +$5.01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.675 | $17.57 | −$1.17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.675 | $13.63 | −$0.30 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.325 | $6.81 | +$1.15 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.095 | $2.01 | −$2.01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.002 | $0.04 | −$0.98 |
| Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.55 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 05:12 | XRP Up or Down on February 4? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.89 |
| 02-04 02:44 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.94 |
| 02-04 02:44 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.65 |
| 02-04 02:43 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.02 |
| 02-04 02:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $14.50 |
| 02-04 02:41 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $18.74 |
| 02-04 02:40 | Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.02 |