Wasqwert
0xfc83799e307da889d242af0ffbf95c2271f04d1e
- Realised P&L
- $-39.15
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.972 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.45at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$7.60at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$7.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$5.20at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$5.20at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 00:19 | Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 00:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.43 |
| 01-07 16:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999671 | $2.53 |
| 11-21 05:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-19 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 11-19 23:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 11-19 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-19 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 11-19 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 11-19 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 11-19 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.32 |
| 11-19 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $0.49 |
| 11-19 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 11-19 01:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 11-19 01:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |