bethany76
0xfc80be1921634167b4d9b570bca1713531e8bc39
- Realised P&L
- $-6.49
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $45.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD? · CDU | 0.760 | 0.670 | $25.74 | −$3.46 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.685 | $19.43 | −$1.56 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.09at 0.622Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$0.75at 0.979Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.38at 0.980Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$0.32at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.24at 0.984Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:02 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.6699999942 | $23.12 |
| 01-31 14:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.80 |
| 01-30 12:15 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.75 |
| 01-30 11:46 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.36 |
| 01-30 11:42 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999664 | $18.31 |
| 01-30 11:39 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.37 |
| 12-30 08:16 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999954 | $13.39 |
| 12-30 01:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.57 |
| 12-30 00:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9930876684 | $10.82 |
| 12-29 22:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.99399998 | $40.29 |
| 12-29 19:43 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $37.15 |
| 10-30 18:46 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $35.06 |
| 10-30 18:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.61 |
| 09-29 12:37 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.91 |
| 09-29 05:00 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $18.51 |