abc91
0xfc7b11e443d5a0d8ff5adb1ec359e3d94cb27a75
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $379.4k
- Markets traded
- 743
- Open portfolio
- $439.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded743
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.275 | $235.00 | −$57.23 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.995 | $179.10 | +$103.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.080 | $25.03 | −$21.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$112.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.192Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?
- +$1.9kat 0.259Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?
- +$1.1kat 0.167Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?
- +$759.29at 0.290Honor of Kings: Wolves vs Talent Gaming (BO7) - King Pro League Playoffs
- +$655.24at 0.295Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.35 | $37.30 |
| 09-26 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.2 | $21.33 |
| 09-26 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.17 | $51.00 |
| 09-26 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3431926121 | $13.01 |
| 09-25 14:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4197222222 | $75.55 |
| 09-25 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.39 | $12.09 |
| 09-25 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3818 | $19.09 |
| 09-25 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.277359236 | $23.38 |
| 09-25 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2328709677 | $9.02 |
| 09-25 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.97 |
| 09-25 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2033333333 | $4.57 |
| 09-25 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.169793617 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1593764175 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1685233 | $16.85 |
| 09-25 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1326471 | $13.26 |