0xpiggy
0xfc75eed4e13267b22ce28696638a62622e332a74
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $337.5k
- Markets traded
- 757
- Open portfolio
- $558.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded757
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$883.75at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$802.46at 0.687Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.979 | $39.16 |
| 09-17 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-17 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $27.79 |
| 09-17 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.0090952 | $0.91 |
| 09-17 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9779344956 | $78.53 |
| 09-17 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.91 | $52.33 |
| 09-17 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9884 | $49.42 |
| 09-17 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $22.32 |
| 09-17 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.79 | $30.42 |
| 09-17 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-17 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |