0x80e9F3b8e34027A7f4C7517d7E3d56A5A5B438A8-1728423274773
0xfc6c19a26cd01b7605db89644ebfdecdb255919a
- Realised P&L
- $64.67
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $631.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.78at 0.629Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$28.44at 0.629Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$27.68at 0.316Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$26.48at 0.062Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
- +$26.08at 0.306Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.47 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31? | BUY | 0.5709128027 | $14.45 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $182.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31? | BUY | 0.2997002997 | $12.00 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by October 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.475T by October 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $14.80 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $182.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 10-07 22:49 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $24.29 |
| 10-06 17:06 | Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-06 16:57 | Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |