0xfc61C18855E593d859DA428a9b01cdB966E57432-1778715130454
0xfc61c18855e593d859da428a9b01cdb966e57432
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $64.9k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $463.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.045 | $463.34 | −$943.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.700 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$-10.20at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:26 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.0595684444 | $375.28 |
| 10-26 15:15 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.07 | $84.00 |
| 10-21 21:08 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 10-18 23:25 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $36.00 |
| 10-18 13:52 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 10-17 21:33 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $48.00 |
| 10-16 21:40 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 10-16 13:42 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-22 21:52 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 09-20 17:10 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-05 11:24 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.08 | $271.65 |
| 09-01 15:11 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 08-07 14:58 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.13 | $331.74 |
| 07-18 13:46 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.12 | $600.00 |