0xfc60f2c2d51976c92c1b864a62485ce717f82d5e
0xfc60f2c2d51976c92c1b864a62485ce717f82d5e
- Realised P&L
- $24.30
- Volume
- $130.98
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $58.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5) · New Mexico State | 0.500 | 0.545 | $15.14 | +$1.25 |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans · Pacers | 0.500 | 0.575 | $14.62 | +$1.91 |
| Bulls vs. Raptors · Bulls | 0.500 | 0.215 | $9.77 | −$12.95 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat · Timberwolves | 0.500 | 0.475 | $9.69 | −$0.51 |
| Hawks vs. Magic · Magic | 0.500 | 0.555 | $9.38 | +$0.93 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.33 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries · Golden State Valkyries | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.77 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.96 |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.74 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) · Saints | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
| Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee · Delaware | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.38 |
| Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State · Kennesaw State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.42 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.58 |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) · Bears | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.500Bills vs. Rams
- +$22.06at 0.500Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$20.19at 0.500Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin
- +$18.75at 0.50076ers vs. Knicks
- +$15.00at 0.500Spread: Kansas State (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:59 | Spread: Cowboys (-2.5) | SELL | 0.45 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 16:51 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | SELL | 0.46 | $8.63 |
| 10-12 23:48 | Kyren Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | BUY | 0.5099999628 | $5.34 |
| 10-09 02:15 | South Alabama vs. Arkansas State | SELL | 0.05 | $0.83 |
| 10-08 01:10 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $9.73 |
| 10-07 20:03 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.57 | $8.55 |