savannah349
0xfc5e9161db72d64539fad5984dccbd847488bb4d
- Realised P&L
- $0.28
- Volume
- $18.30
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No | 0.989 | 0.991 | $2.65 | +$0.00 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.989 | 0.983 | $2.56 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.962 | $1.54 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.989 | 0.989 | $1.13 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.953Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.08at 0.951Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 9?
- +$0.07at 0.966Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$0.02at 0.989Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9889999978 | $2.65 |
| 09-15 21:27 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9889999985 | $2.58 |
| 09-15 21:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9669999838 | $1.55 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9889999956 | $1.13 |
| 09-08 09:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9479999458 | $1.47 |
| 09-08 09:04 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.89 |
| 09-03 09:13 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.952 | $2.11 |
| 09-03 09:12 | Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.9649999851 | $1.94 |
| 08-29 16:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $2.56 |