lmdefi
0xfc505aec60a8e29bf5a97da7759fb603f1c4aa09
- Realised P&L
- $-469.38
- Volume
- $79.5k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.54at 0.115Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$87.22at 0.074Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 30?
- +$49.04at 0.110Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$31.67at 0.006Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on August 19?
- +$21.20at 0.026Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 09-28 19:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 18:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $4.40 |
| 09-28 18:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $4.40 |
| 09-28 17:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.027 | $5.40 |
| 09-18 17:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.22 |
| 09-18 11:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.079 | $5.42 |
| 09-18 11:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $5.47 |
| 09-18 01:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.35 |
| 09-18 00:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 00:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.16 |
| 09-17 12:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.36 |