PolyBot

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Traders

denisen

0xfc4e6cd4aa202474fd2765ada9cc9c325cd050b1

Realised P&L
$164.95
Volume
$23.8k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$76.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.160$76.80−$326.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-05 18:20Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?SELL0.9$581.20
02-03 07:33Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?BUY0.8336006942$538.33
01-12 07:04Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY0.8914088098$479.88
01-08 08:09Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.7992037553$383.52
12-02 08:43Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?BUY0.9929999979$380.83
11-25 06:21Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.993$297.90
11-12 07:48Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?SELL0.964$192.80
11-11 05:56Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$159.55
11-03 08:25Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$2.0k
11-03 07:50Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$2.0k
11-03 07:46Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$159.81
10-28 09:48Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?BUY0.982$156.93
10-28 09:43Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.987$156.84
10-23 13:09Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.988$157.00
10-23 13:09Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.987$2.5k