Octaviantharius
0xfc4d4093b060e3a4edfbe74b6069b2ef7bb28626
- Realised P&L
- $-56.41
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $47.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions · Doosan Bears | 0.500 | 0.500 | $14.50 | +$0.00 |
| Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda · Ntunda | 0.500 | 0.500 | $12.35 | +$0.00 |
| Yevtodii Iolanta vs. Budnyk Roksolana · Yevtodii Iolanta | 0.500 | 0.500 | $11.25 | +$0.00 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz · Doosan Bears | 0.500 | 0.565 | $9.89 | +$1.14 |
| Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds · Belmont Bruins | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.14 |
| US Open WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Wang/Xu · Wang/Xu | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.15 |
| Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Fubon Guardians · Wei Chuan Dragons | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.05 |
| KFC T20 Max: Wynnum-Manly vs University of Queensland · Wynnum-Manly | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.35 |
| Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty · Washington Mystics | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.90 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire · PortlandFire | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.75 |
| Burgos vs. Unicaja · Unicaja | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.65 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET · Up | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.32 |
| San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · San Diego Padres | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.92at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$43.24at 0.510XRP Up or Down - November 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$35.29at 0.505Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$32.67at 0.510XRP Up or Down - December 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$31.73at 0.526UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:16 | Yevtodii Iolanta vs. Budnyk Roksolana | BUY | 0.5 | $11.25 |
| 09-15 02:08 | Rotari Alexei vs. Turcanu Roman | BUY | 0.5 | $11.55 |
| 09-12 01:45 | US Open Juniors, Boys (Doubles): Konduri/Latak vs Gabet/Gonzalez-Galino | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 09-10 02:17 | TSG Hawks vs. Fubon Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $6.05 |
| 09-06 02:31 | Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Fubon Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $8.90 |
| 09-04 03:05 | US Open WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Wang/Xu | BUY | 0.5 | $13.15 |
| 08-27 02:19 | Cape Verde vs. Guinea | BUY | 0.5 | $11.15 |
| 08-21 06:25 | Bondarchuk Oleksandr vs. Ivchuk Oleksandr | BUY | 0.5 | $10.70 |
| 08-18 04:12 | Cancun (Doubles): Rojer/Winegar vs Hernandez/Pacheco | BUY | 0.5 | $7.05 |
| 08-12 03:20 | Iurcenco Iuri vs. Gribcov Dmitri | BUY | 0.5 | $10.65 |
| 08-10 02:01 | KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes | BUY | 0.5 | $12.20 |
| 08-05 02:43 | KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions | BUY | 0.5 | $14.50 |
| 08-03 09:35 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Worcestershire Women vs Glamorgan Women | BUY | 0.5 | $11.25 |
| 08-01 04:04 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Sussex Women vs Middlesex Women | BUY | 0.5 | $9.40 |
| 07-27 02:20 | German Super League Hamburg T10: Kummerfelder Sportverein vs United XI Jagerhof | BUY | 0.5 | $12.30 |