tabakur
0xfc46c63b531406332543b7487214db5288cbd7d8
- Realised P&L
- $363.94
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.935 | 0.984 | $7.3k | +$365.01 |
| Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.069 | $20.23 | +$6.94 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.430 | $6.14 | −$3.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.94at 0.927Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
- +$128.70at 0.971Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$49.60at 0.150Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$40.52at 0.700Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$32.04at 0.860Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 20:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9662634013 | $137.90 |
| 10-23 17:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 19:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 15:30 | Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.063 | $3.29 |
| 09-13 14:33 | Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 00:05 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $523.25 |
| 09-13 00:03 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 00:02 | Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.0237719618 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:00 | Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 23:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 00:25 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 00:22 | Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.0573147444 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 00:17 | Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.217 | $14.76 |
| 09-06 13:25 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999975 | $300.00 |
| 09-06 13:20 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $200.00 |