PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tabakur

0xfc46c63b531406332543b7487214db5288cbd7d8

Realised P&L
$363.94
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9350.984$7.3k+$365.01
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.0450.069$20.23+$6.94
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.7000.430$6.14−$3.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 20:31NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9662634013$137.90
10-23 17:50NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
10-22 19:59NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
09-13 15:30Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.063$3.29
09-13 14:33Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.0439999995$3.00
09-13 00:05Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.9$523.25
09-13 00:03Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.699999993$10.00
09-13 00:02Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.0237719618$1.00
09-13 00:00Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
09-09 23:23Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999976$300.00
09-09 00:25Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999976$300.00
09-09 00:22Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?BUY0.0573147444$5.00
09-09 00:17Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?SELL0.217$14.76
09-06 13:25Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.8599999975$300.00
09-06 13:20Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.8599999996$200.00