dfjijaiof
0xfc3985cdd32ca6890111fbf017b1899271abd79c
- Realised P&L
- $-145.91
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $54.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.018 | $54.08 | −$144.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.70at 0.480Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
- +$0.55at 0.570Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$0.30at 0.410Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.240ICE shooter charged by March 31?
- +$-0.01at 0.430Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 00:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0680735354 | $199.00 |
| 01-10 01:31 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 01-10 01:11 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 01-09 07:12 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 01-08 11:23 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 01-07 10:10 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 01-07 10:10 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 01-06 01:51 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 01-05 10:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 01-05 10:05 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | SELL | 0.826 | $4.92 |
| 01-05 10:05 | Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 01-05 00:10 | Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 01-05 00:05 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 01-04 08:03 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 01-04 08:02 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.58 |