tokito
0xfc31e9c1b9a0bd97fbea076613f01b72d142a289
- Realised P&L
- $-135.58
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $318.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.626 | 0.845 | $134.89 | +$34.89 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.405 | $52.60 | −$47.40 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.315 | $46.38 | −$53.62 |
| Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.350 | $42.00 | −$58.80 |
| Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.150 | $19.48 | −$80.52 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.803 | 0.098 | $12.38 | −$89.62 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.797 | 0.045 | $5.65 | −$94.35 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.563 | 0.014 | $2.48 | −$97.52 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No | 0.820 | 0.500 | $1.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No | 0.840 | 0.500 | $1.19 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.39at 0.460Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$95.20at 0.189Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$94.06at 0.263Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$79.63at 0.540Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$69.49at 0.590Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.5059966999 | $151.79 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.145 | $9.06 |
| 07-15 20:32 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 20:47 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6424999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 21:26 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.845 | $139.66 |
| 07-09 17:17 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6049999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 17:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.313 | $74.17 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 16:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 15:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3519999656 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 15:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999354 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 15:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.128 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 15:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999336 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 15:16 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0670000051 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 15:16 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0619999428 | $1.00 |