PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tokito

0xfc31e9c1b9a0bd97fbea076613f01b72d142a289

Realised P&L
$-135.58
Volume
$31.6k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$318.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6260.845$134.89+$34.89
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.405$52.60$47.40
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.6790.315$46.38$53.62
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.350$42.00$58.80
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.150$19.48$80.52
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8030.098$12.38$89.62
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7970.045$5.65$94.35
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5630.014$2.48$97.52
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.8200.500$1.22$0.78
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.8400.500$1.19$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.5059966999$151.79
07-15 20:50Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.145$9.06
07-15 20:32Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.08$5.00
07-10 20:47Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.6424999679$5.00
07-09 21:26Will France win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.845$139.66
07-09 17:17Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6049999983$100.00
07-07 17:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.313$74.17
07-07 17:34Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.05$5.00
07-07 16:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.73$100.00
07-04 15:17Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3519999656$5.00
07-04 15:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999354$2.00
07-04 15:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128$1.00
07-04 15:16Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0669999336$1.00
07-04 15:16Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0670000051$1.00
07-04 15:16Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0619999428$1.00
Trader tokito · PolyBot