PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tokito

0xfc31e9c1b9a0bd97fbea076613f01b72d142a289

Realised P&L
$279.58
Volume
$31.4k
Markets traded
279
Open portfolio
$278.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded279
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8510.735$86.32−$13.68
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8400.404$48.42−$52.38
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.350$45.45−$54.55
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.6790.270$39.75−$60.25
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.445$33.71−$16.29
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.095$12.34−$87.66
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8030.059$7.49−$94.51
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7970.039$4.89−$95.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 13:40Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?BUY0.6599999979$50.00
09-29 13:40Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8514851481$100.00
08-21 20:50Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$148.46
07-19 22:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.5059966999$151.79
07-15 20:50Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.145$9.06
07-15 20:32Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.08$5.00
07-10 20:47Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.6424999679$5.00
07-09 21:26Will France win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.845$139.66
07-09 17:17Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6049999983$100.00
07-07 17:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.313$74.17
07-07 17:34Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.05$5.00
07-07 16:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.73$100.00
07-04 15:17Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3519999656$5.00
07-04 15:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1709999354$2.00
07-04 15:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128$1.00