PolyBot

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Traders

mr.jarvis

0xfc31e0a9822c4492e801fa179ac7127e40cd63a1

Realised P&L
$-283.70
Volume
$19.5k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$77.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 05:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 20?SELL0.13$1.69
07-20 03:31Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 20?SELL0.13$0.78
07-20 03:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?SELL0.37$1.11
07-20 03:31Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 20?SELL0.27$1.89
07-20 02:30Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 20?SELL0.32$1.92
07-20 02:15Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 20?SELL0.3$1.50
07-20 01:32Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 20?SELL0.04$0.60
07-20 01:32Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?SELL0.08$0.80
07-08 22:31Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 9?SELL0.57$1.14
07-08 21:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?SELL0.0696$1.74
07-08 20:31Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 8?SELL0.012$0.40
07-08 20:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?SELL0.0483333333$0.29
07-08 05:00Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?SELL0.05$0.55
07-08 02:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?SELL0.01$0.53
07-08 01:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?SELL0.4$2.00