mr.jarvis
0xfc31e0a9822c4492e801fa179ac7127e40cd63a1
- Realised P&L
- $-283.70
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $77.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.00at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 26?
- +$72.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?
- +$71.49at 0.158Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 25?
- +$56.59at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 28?
- +$47.96at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.69 |
| 07-20 03:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 07-20 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 07-20 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 07-20 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.92 |
| 07-20 02:15 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-20 01:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 07-20 01:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 07-08 22:31 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.14 |
| 07-08 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.0696 | $1.74 |
| 07-08 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 8? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.40 |
| 07-08 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8? | SELL | 0.0483333333 | $0.29 |
| 07-08 05:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.55 |
| 07-08 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.53 |
| 07-08 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |