0xfc2d86be158adecb35c615cbd23ae72082ccb358
- Realised P&L
- $-2.08
- Volume
- $15.00
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $2.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.475 | $2.38 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.38at 0.724Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 12?
- +$-3.48at 0.695Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-12 19:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-12 16:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |