PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFc29168DBdaFE8874B5E5A3bFCD81baB347789E4-1779305592245

0xfc29168dbdafe8874b5e5a3bfcd81bab347789e4

Realised P&L
$8.47
Volume
$300.06
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$22.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4580.660$7.20+$2.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5900.820$6.95+$1.95
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7400.899$4.86+$0.86
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1800.048$2.67−$7.33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3200.260$0.81−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 20:34Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?SELL0.03$0.98
10-25 20:34Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.109$0.65
10-25 13:25Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?BUY0.1531919066$5.00
10-25 13:11Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?BUY0.25$5.00
09-21 15:11Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5029999757$3.00
06-02 18:47Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $315?SELL0.44$4.40
06-01 16:35Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.7399999593$4.00
06-01 16:27Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.32$1.00
06-01 16:27Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
06-01 16:27Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.4582312089$5.00
05-30 09:52Will Apple (AAPL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
05-29 20:19Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $310?SELL0.999$7.80
05-29 07:56Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $315?BUY0.16$2.00
05-29 07:56Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $310?BUY0.64$5.00
05-29 07:42Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.6899999586$1.00