haichle
0xfc25cebb4e6d0ec89e666db86f22cbe6f3e4b45b
- Realised P&L
- $-911.80
- Volume
- $92.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $78.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No | 0.710 | 0.905 | $57.02 | +$12.29 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.840 | $21.00 | +$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.71at 0.560Thunder vs. Cavaliers
- +$56.03at 0.420Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?
- +$2.53at 0.972Will Solana hit $190 in March?
- +$2.47at 0.630Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
- +$-0.06at 0.999Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 03:05 | Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 01-23 02:22 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $2.4k |
| 01-22 03:38 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | BUY | 0.762 | $2.5k |
| 10-13 06:41 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.629999952 | $4.20 |
| 03-24 03:30 | Will Solana hit $190 in March? | BUY | 0.9719999998 | $87.79 |
| 03-24 03:24 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $213.02 |
| 03-24 03:23 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $213.24 |
| 01-08 04:46 | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5599999998 | $118.00 |
| 01-08 04:43 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference? | SELL | 0.996 | $120.53 |
| 01-08 04:42 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference? | BUY | 0.997 | $120.65 |
| 01-08 04:41 | Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.997 | $120.66 |
| 01-08 04:41 | Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.78 |
| 12-06 03:31 | Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07? | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $40.57 |
| 12-06 02:30 | Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season? | SELL | 0.998 | $64.75 |
| 12-06 02:30 | Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.82 |