PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

haichle

0xfc25cebb4e6d0ec89e666db86f22cbe6f3e4b45b

Realised P&L
$-911.80
Volume
$92.2k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$78.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7100.905$57.02+$12.29
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7200.840$21.00+$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 03:05Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.72$18.00
01-23 02:22Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?SELL0.75$2.4k
01-22 03:38Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?BUY0.762$2.5k
10-13 06:41Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?BUY0.629999952$4.20
03-24 03:30Will Solana hit $190 in March?BUY0.9719999998$87.79
03-24 03:24Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?SELL0.996$213.02
03-24 03:23Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.997$213.24
01-08 04:46Thunder vs. CavaliersBUY0.5599999998$118.00
01-08 04:43Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?SELL0.996$120.53
01-08 04:42Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?BUY0.997$120.65
01-08 04:41Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?SELL0.997$120.66
01-08 04:41Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?BUY0.998$120.78
12-06 03:31Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?BUY0.4199999944$40.57
12-06 02:30Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?SELL0.998$64.75
12-06 02:30Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?BUY0.999$64.82