0xfC231261Ae7c0AfFA60A39A181Cc4B6EdC5EC2D6-1757264114365
0xfc231261ae7c0affa60a39a181cc4b6edc5ec2d6
- Realised P&L
- $-525.76
- Volume
- $55.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $50.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.260 | $28.89 | −$21.11 |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.065 | $21.35 | −$44.59 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.35 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.09 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.14 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.99 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.99 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.33at 0.150Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$74.65at 0.169Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$45.56at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$24.99at 0.008Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.76at 0.121Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 13:09 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3889999972 | $37.23 |
| 07-12 13:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.189 | $40.04 |
| 07-10 13:02 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999968 | $29.86 |
| 06-19 16:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1179999963 | $25.00 |
| 06-19 16:11 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.028954491 | $35.00 |
| 06-19 16:11 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0059999998 | $35.00 |
| 06-19 16:11 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0059999998 | $35.00 |
| 06-19 16:11 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $35.00 |
| 06-07 19:56 | Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2010886421 | $45.00 |
| 06-07 19:55 | Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 06-07 19:52 | Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.95 |
| 06-07 16:59 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.4099999896 | $13.35 |
| 04-07 18:36 | Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3799999863 | $9.62 |
| 04-07 18:33 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2299999976 | $72.11 |
| 04-07 18:31 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |