0x3BcCwgou83vSbjf3avwh3gF3a93cAgD2gG9
0xfc2265849a12e725081f3645fd803ea0444d2ac0
- Realised P&L
- $43.60
- Volume
- $931.90
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $224.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yes | 0.584 | 0.595 | $111.86 | +$2.16 |
| Will Norway win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.255 | $47.99 | −$16.00 |
| Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.255 | $47.35 | −$56.64 |
| Will Newcastle United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $17.30 | −$0.10 |
| Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.009 | $0.26 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.60at 0.040Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?
- +$-18.95at 0.993Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:38 | Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? | BUY | 0.5835106383 | $109.70 |
| 09-17 19:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.9931875 | $158.91 |