PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3BcCwgou83vSbjf3avwh3gF3a93cAgD2gG9

0xfc2265849a12e725081f3645fd803ea0444d2ac0

Realised P&L
$43.60
Volume
$931.90
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$224.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yes0.5840.595$111.86+$2.16
Will Norway win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · Yes0.3400.255$47.99$16.00
Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? · Yes0.5600.255$47.35$56.64
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No0.8700.865$17.30$0.10
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.009$0.26$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:38Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4?BUY0.5835106383$109.70
09-17 19:14Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?BUY0.9931875$158.91