toladou
0xfc198f55b45d5da9a171d4d9c6dd82071a141220
- Realised P&L
- $-9.98
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $97.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.51at 0.140Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
- +$2.72at 0.035Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?
- +$1.70at 0.003Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 13?
- +$1.56at 0.390Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu
- +$0.28at 0.057Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:08 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.01 |
| 09-18 15:05 | Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $75.48 |
| 09-13 19:21 | USA vs. France | BUY | 0.021 | $1.05 |
| 09-13 17:17 | USA vs. France | BUY | 0.236 | $9.44 |
| 03-04 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4? | SELL | 0.071 | $1.42 |
| 03-04 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.1258333333 | $3.77 |
| 03-04 10:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.14 |
| 03-04 10:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 14:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 29? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.40 |
| 01-27 15:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 28? | SELL | 0.033 | $2.34 |
| 01-27 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28? | BUY | 0.035 | $2.80 |
| 01-17 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 18? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 01-16 19:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.53 |
| 01-14 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |