PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

toladou

0xfc198f55b45d5da9a171d4d9c6dd82071a141220

Realised P&L
$-9.98
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$97.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:08Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.91$10.01
09-18 15:05Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9$75.48
09-13 19:21USA vs. FranceBUY0.021$1.05
09-13 17:17USA vs. FranceBUY0.236$9.44
03-04 14:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?SELL0.071$1.42
03-04 10:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7?BUY0.1258333333$3.77
03-04 10:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY0.057$1.14
03-04 10:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?BUY0.005$2.00
01-28 14:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 29?BUY0.01$2.00
01-28 14:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?SELL0.002$1.40
01-27 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 28?SELL0.033$2.34
01-27 12:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?BUY0.035$2.80
01-17 08:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 18?BUY0.003$3.00
01-16 19:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?SELL0.011$2.53
01-14 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?BUY0.001$1.50