PolyBot

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Traders

darthgeek

0xfc1490c043e5ed6ec2ce7ea003e6b540b0eb2e9b

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$2.40M
Markets traded
9,176
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,176
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20? · No0.9750.994$101.32+$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20? · Yes0.9800.993$101.27+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 20? · No0.9840.994$101.01+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20? · Yes0.9810.990$100.86+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20? · Yes0.9900.992$100.20+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 20? · No0.9950.997$100.14+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 20? · No0.9950.998$100.10+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or higher on October 20? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 20? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20? · No0.9971.000$100.05+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 20? · No0.9991.000$100.03+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 20? · No0.9990.999$100.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on October 20? · No0.9990.999$100.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 20? · No0.9990.999$100.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20? · Yes0.9880.988$100.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20?BUY0.999$42.01
10-20 08:03Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on October 20?BUY0.999$58.14
10-20 08:03Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?BUY0.9985205794$99.95
10-20 08:03Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 20?BUY0.9954987039$99.85
10-20 08:03Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 20?BUY0.999$100.00
10-20 08:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?BUY0.988$77.58
10-20 07:20Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.999$16.93
10-20 07:17Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.9987250683$62.19
10-20 07:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?BUY0.99$100.00
10-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on October 20?BUY0.9970434565$99.80
10-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 20?BUY0.999$74.94
10-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 20?BUY0.999$100.00
10-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 20?BUY0.996$5.73
10-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 20?BUY0.997$100.00
10-20 07:03Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 20?BUY0.997$100.00