darthgeek
0xfc1490c043e5ed6ec2ce7ea003e6b540b0eb2e9b
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 9,176
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,176
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.01 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.14 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9985205794 | $99.95 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9954987039 | $99.85 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.988 | $77.58 |
| 10-20 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.93 |
| 10-20 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9987250683 | $62.19 |
| 10-20 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9970434565 | $99.80 |
| 10-20 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.94 |
| 10-20 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.73 |
| 10-20 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |