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Traders

market3

0xfc0f1200bee4c176a468eb26ce6b5584fe30c1e6

Realised P&L
$-789.75
Volume
$213.7k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$25.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 11:50Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 7?SELL0.8462893082$6.73
08-05 11:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.9472153635$6.91
08-05 09:39Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.88$7.00
08-05 09:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.81$6.37
08-05 05:11Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?SELL0.51$3.35
08-04 17:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.96$7.00
08-04 17:05Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.87$6.85
08-04 12:39Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4?BUY0.001$0.01
08-04 12:39Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4?BUY0.001$0.09
08-04 12:29Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 4?BUY0.001$0.05
08-04 12:29Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4?BUY0.001$0.12
08-04 05:20Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.57$3.74
08-04 05:19Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.05$2.91
08-04 05:19Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.04$4.00
08-04 03:38Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.33$3.77
Trader market3 · PolyBot