market3
0xfc0f1200bee4c176a468eb26ce6b5584fe30c1e6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $226.0k
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $4.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.40at 0.351England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?
- +$352.67at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
- +$249.00at 0.004Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 10?
- +$149.88at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$81.64at 0.483Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.94 | $20.33 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 13:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.35 |
| 09-22 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.49 |
| 09-22 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.53 |