market3
0xfc0f1200bee4c176a468eb26ce6b5584fe30c1e6
- Realised P&L
- $-789.75
- Volume
- $213.7k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $25.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$426.44at 0.345England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?
- +$370.53at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
- +$249.00at 0.004Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 10?
- +$151.38at 0.142Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$134.68at 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.8462893082 | $6.73 |
| 08-05 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.9472153635 | $6.91 |
| 08-05 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.00 |
| 08-05 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.37 |
| 08-05 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.35 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.87 | $6.85 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 12:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 12:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.74 |
| 08-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.91 |
| 08-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.77 |