0xfC0bEA4ec08aDf5efc7285D126C53C3Ab865E5B3-1763763954604
0xfc0bea4ec08adf5efc7285d126c53c3ab865e5b3
- Realised P&L
- $13.79
- Volume
- $237.84
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $2.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.045 | $2.38 | −$19.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.82at 0.419>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?
- +$1.97at 0.134Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-30 16:49 | >3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30? | SELL | 0.6666974015 | $31.81 |
| 11-29 09:52 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025? | SELL | 0.1781749049 | $7.97 |
| 11-28 16:38 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025? | BUY | 0.1341852863 | $6.00 |
| 11-25 22:40 | >3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30? | BUY | 0.4190476133 | $20.00 |
| 11-22 21:30 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 11-22 21:19 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.4149217357 | $20.00 |