PolyBot

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Traders

iamnumberfour

0xfc0b5ec443683e686b5f3141cd24e582a2f05998

Realised P&L
$26.64
Volume
$612.00
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$15.39

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? · No0.6900.735$10.29+$0.63
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.1330.118$5.10−$0.62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$4.76
Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena · Alex Barrena0.8300.000$0.00−$4.15
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$4.40
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-30? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$4.80
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$5.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$4.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:56Santa Cruz 2: Maximo Zeitune vs Luis Guto MiguelBUY0.87$4.35
10-14 18:55Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.83$4.15
10-14 02:19Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.69$9.66
10-13 13:28Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.41$4.51
10-13 01:44Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.133$5.72
09-02 18:51US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael ZhengSELL0.48$3.84
09-02 09:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?SELL0.75$6.75
09-01 15:50US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin MoutetBUY0.67$4.69
09-01 15:06US Open WTA: Gabriela Knutson vs Eva LysBUY0.58$4.64
09-01 13:49US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael ZhengBUY0.58$4.64
09-01 11:27Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.37$5.55
09-01 09:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?BUY0.84$4.20
09-01 09:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?BUY0.88$7.92
09-01 08:44US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard StruffBUY0.64$4.48
09-01 07:17Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.88$4.40