iamnumberfour
0xfc0b5ec443683e686b5f3141cd24e582a2f05998
- Realised P&L
- $26.64
- Volume
- $612.00
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $15.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.735 | $10.29 | +$0.63 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.118 | $5.10 | −$0.62 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena · Alex Barrena | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.15 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-30? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.55 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.32at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
- +$6.22at 0.481Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20?
- +$6.03at 0.497Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 18?
- +$6.02at 0.452Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$5.38at 0.462Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:56 | Santa Cruz 2: Maximo Zeitune vs Luis Guto Miguel | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-14 18:55 | Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-14 02:19 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $9.66 |
| 10-13 13:28 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.51 |
| 10-13 01:44 | Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.133 | $5.72 |
| 09-02 18:51 | US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng | SELL | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 09-02 09:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2? | SELL | 0.75 | $6.75 |
| 09-01 15:50 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 09-01 15:06 | US Open WTA: Gabriela Knutson vs Eva Lys | BUY | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 09-01 13:49 | US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng | BUY | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 09-01 11:27 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.55 |
| 09-01 09:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-01 09:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.92 |
| 09-01 08:44 | US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BUY | 0.64 | $4.48 |
| 09-01 07:17 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |